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Archywraith

#WSOPguess #guess6 

I'm sorry Ladies but I think this is a very strong

0.

 

#WSOPguess  #guess5 

I checked the chipcounts. If I'm right there are only 6 players from Heroscore TOP 20:

Negreanu (2C, 376th, 123,600), Hellmuth (2C, 601st, 88,800), Esfandiari (2C, 155th, 176,100), Moorman (2AB, 99th, 190,700), Nguyen (2C, 143rd,181,200) and Duhamel (2AB, 119th, 177,400). 1824 players are in, so the logical answer is:

NO

Proper research done 

Thanks Jonny

#WSOPguess #guess4

I'm a fan of Liv Boeree ('cause I was impressed of her EPT victory and on the other hand I approciate her charity work too and she's very hot) but I think she's out:

so it couldn't be a wise decision to predict her as a top ranked British player.

In this case my guess is: @Jake Cody .

5 Comments Display all

Thanks @Rémi Rkh . I've wrote my answer but copy-pasted the hashtags so You couldn't see that. Problem is fixed. Sorry.

#WSOPguess  #guess3 

Does poker qualify as a sport? If yes, my answer is yes too

If not, I have to ask some of my friends:

"Hi Oprah, will You be among the November 9?"

"Thank You. Have a nice day!"

"Salut Henry! What's about You and Nov Nine?"

"I think it's a big NO, isn't it? Cheers!".

So my answer is NO.

 #WSOPguess #guess2

 

2008: 2 Europeans

2009: 2

2010: 1

2011: 5

2012: 1  (a hungarian guy)

2013: 3

2014: 4

Average: 2,57

 

My prediction is: 3.

 

 

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#WSOPguess #guess1

My prediction is:

6♥7♥3♥5♥

Gl all!

#UnibetBubble #Decision6 

I'm a man. I spell M-A-N.

Sleepy? No, I'm not. I'ma  good actor.

Yes, I'm playing against a tight player who knows I know he's a tight one so he calls an all-in against me. I'm close to getting in money as well.

What's the situation at now? How can I lose? If he's a very tight player he won't go all-in with a flush draw.

So in my opinion he got an AA or KK. The chance is fifty-fifty.

I call. I'm wealthy enough to do it

I'm joking. But, what's my goal? I want to be rich. 

Call and pray is my answer

 

10 Comments Display all

Vodka? un langage universel

Vous avez raison @Pic0l0 mais quand vous buvez palinka vous l'aurez compris toutes les langues.

 haha true!!!

#UnibetBubble  #Decision5 

Check our chances:

Not a bad situation. BUT...

I feel trap. Why? We should check his play:

1. Pre-flop: He has 30 BB and opens 2,2 BB from UTG+1

As we know he's a loose player and likes to see a lot of flops. But he started this round with a handsome bet from early position. He has to know there is chance for 2-bet, 3-bet or more 'cause he plays from early position. If two more players drop out he will be in the money. Risking 5% of his stack with nothing in the hand could be a very risky decision. But he hasn't got a monster hand as well.

 

2. Flop: 10♠3♦Q♦ Villain bets 5 BB

Only 3 players stayed in. He doubled up his opening bet (2,2 BB -> 5BB). Do You think he wants to steal the pot? I don't think so.

UTG+2 has a 90 BB stack, he can call (or raise) without doubt if he got a good hand.

UTG+1 is a loose player but not crazy. He has played couple of hours so this is not that moment when he will open with nothing against a large stack player. So in my opinion the flop is not too bad for him. In this case:

a., he has a flush draw with A♦ or K♦ in the hand (or both of them)

b., he has a high straight draw: AK, AJ or KJ

c., he has one pair with a high kicker (so getting a straight is not impossible): AQ, AT, KQ, KT, QJ or JT (?)

d., he has two pair (and waiting for full house or four of a kind): QT

e., he has three of a kind (and waiting for four of a kind or full house): 3, T or Q

 

3. Turn: 6♥ Villain checks

UTG+2 with the largest stack is out from this round and turn is a low card. This is the right time to steal the pot. But he slowes his play and checks. He's a not a crazy opponent and wants to finish in money I'm sure. So a., b., or c. option is the right one.

 

In this case I find myself in a very good position when river arrived (9♣). Option 'a' is out; option 'b' lost 2 chance out of 3; option 'c' is out.

But what can happen if I...

CHECK

in option 'a' (flush draw): he checks too. He checked on the turn so he doesn't want to waste his money. I win 17 BB.

in option 'b': with AK or AJ he checks too and I win 17 BB. BUT! With a KJ he bets (at least 5 BB and maybe I call. In this case after this round I find myself in a very bad situation because I'll have only approx. 22 BB) or goes all-in (I fold).

in option 'c': he checks or bets a small (3-4 BB, I call and win 23-25 BB).

 

BET (8 BB)

in option 'a': he folds. I win 17 BB. The same one as I check.

in option 'b': with AK or AJ he folds. I win 17 BB again. But with a KJ he goes all-in and I fold.

in option 'c': he calls (I win 33 BB) or folds (I win 17 BB)

 

ALL-IN

in option 'a': he folds. I win 17 BB.

in option 'b': He folds (AK or AJ) but with KJ he calls and I'm almost out of the tourney.

in option 'c': he folds. I win 17 BB.

 

So, in my opinion:

- all-in is forbidden

- bet is too risky, not worth it

- check is the right decision

 

My answer is CHECK. If he bets a small I call, and if he goes all-in I fold.

 

#UnibetBubble #Decision4

I think it depends on my opponent's style. Is he a Calling Station or a LAG? Btw he bet 5 BB.

 

 

First of all I should realize the facts:

- 2 players to bust and I'm in the money

- the pot is cca 12 BB

- my remaining stack is 32 BB

- I got a loose player with smaller stack (28 BB)

- I have 64,34% chance to win with 2,22% to tie

- flush and straight draw are on the table

Do You remember Hamlet's soliloquy? I help You: the right answer is "To raise or not to raise, that is the question".

My feelings are mixed. Yeah, he's a loose player but he has to know we are close to getting to the money. He started this round with a raise and now continues his agressive play. If he's a Calling Station I think I'm in trouble (maybe he got a top pair or AXs, suited K and high kicker). I call and why? I want to see the turn. And I'm not afraid to take a step (thanks Eminem for this sentence). And the other thing: if he's a CS I'm almost sure he got a pair and I don't have to afraid of AXs or KXs.

If he's a LAG player I have to recognize he will continue his agressive play. Raising is the worst thing to do. I don't want to hear an all-in. So call and pray.

Hey Hamlet, my answer is: Beggar that I am, I am even poor in raisings.

 

So my final decision is:

CALL and wait for my friends: A♦K♦

 

 

 

#UnibetBubble #Decision3

This is not my cup of tea. He called instantly after the turn and I know nothing about him. I predicted he got a low pair so 9♦ is a dangerous card in my opinion. Maybe he's waiting for check-raising but he has:

2.35% for a full house

1.61% for a straight

7% for a three of a kind

0.77% for AK in the hand

and we have 7,67% for tie.

The pot is cca. 14 BB at now, and I have 31 BB to bet. As we know we are close to getting to the money so the decision is not too easy.

But wait a minute.

 

Does he know what type of poker player am I? I think the right answer is: NO. And in this case:

My choice is bet (6 BB).