#UnibetBubble #Decision4   

Notice that the hashtags have changed.

4th decision: 

This is a new hand.

A few minutes after the one you played previously. Now there are only 2 players to bust before the bubble.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

What do you do?

This is a nice flop for a suited hand. One diamond and bingo. There is also a little straight draw, so I would make the call. If no diamond appears on the turn, then let's hope the oppenent checks. If he again raises I would make the fold. If we lose we still have enough chips left for a new hand.

#UnibetBubble #Decision4 

#UnibetBubble #Decision4   

Notice that the hashtags have changed.

4th decision: 

This is a new hand.

A few minutes after the one you played previously. Now there are only 2 players to bust before the bubble.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

 What do you do?

we have enough outs to give it a call here but if we do not hit on the turn and he does raise again then it is an easy fold because or stack in bb is going to get to low then. but for now with this stack we can give it a go 

#UnibetBubble #Decision4 

Villain likes to see a lot of flops so i wont give him too much credit for a premium hand

I doesnt seems like he wants to be called.I have the guy covered + since there are only 2 places left till we get in the money i think he will fold verry often here.

This check-raise move should put some thought in his head:) I pressure  him so i throw all my chips in the pot.

I hope to get him to fold but if he calls its not the end of the world ,i still have my chances

#UnibetBubble #Decision4 @Apsal-ara 

Call
Not totally bad, but also not good. To wait for extra card? Not much implied odds (not too deep, and he will fold a lot to dangerous card) and dont forget reverse odds.
So call = we pay for card and if its good, we dont get much extra chips.

Fold
Reasonable option. But why we would defend blind and checked the flop. This is not a bad flop for us. It would be wasting chips defending BB, with the plan to fold on c-bet.

Raise of Shove
Those seems like best options. There is tons of fold equity. He has wide range, and we have very good chance to make him fold even hands like middle pairs.
Chances he has hit monster are very low, and even if he did, we still have reasonable pot equity (even against top set we have nice 34%, against 2 pairs we have 41%, our worst situation is against AKd, but its only one 1 hand, and still we are not drawing dead).

If we just raise, we should have a plan if he shoves (with current bet size, any re-raise is basically a shove). And my plan in such case is go all-in. Bubble is bubble, but we aim for good cash anyway, and not just min-cash.
So if there is strong EV+ spot in chips, Im going to take the risk.

So now, I decide between raise or shove, with the plan not to fold.

Shove have a bit better fold equity. We will get the pot or face some good hand with reasonable pot equity.
Raise will open space for him to bluff. But its actually not the thing I want. Im willing to take risk, but Im also trying to avoid the risky situations.

I choose shove. Check-raise seems very strong here. He will fold most of his range, my estimate is we have at least 80% fold chance.
Reason for shove is to maximize fold equity, dont let him bluff and force us to flip. Dont let him call with better draw or some pair and beat us on turn.

What we represent by shove? Well = bluff, any 2 pairs, set, Q with good kicker, semi-bluff with draws. So our big raise makes sense => fold equity.

Face play is important, so I would add face like this to my shove (the shark, not the Nemo):

#UnibetBubble #Decision4

I have too many outs...

I would go 10,000 hoping Villan1 goes all in, if not I am committed and going all the way before the river, happy days. ROLL THE DICE...........

#UnibetBubble #Decision4  @advoghado 

This is a new hand.

A few minutes after the one you played previously. Now there are only 2 players to bust before the bubble.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

What do you do?

I see my hand in prety situation,15 outs 54% for my win,easy call,if we not thinking about opponent cards and desicions,what he is agressor,so I would think (in preview I write not thinking)

but still, if on turn comes trouble,a diamond.In another situation find diamond on turn would be great, I mean I would be richbut my decision is CALLand wait the turn with no diamond,sounds crazy

#UnibetBubble #Decision4

The blinds are still 500/1000.

 In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

What do you do?

I'm still staring at the waitress who bumped into me when i was reaching for some chips to rifle and knocked my stack of chips over  and one of my 1k chips rolled into the centre of the table, 

dealer deemd this to be a call (WTF)  so had to ship in another 200 chips.J8s suited in this position is going to play pretty poorly , At best we will be flopping poor pairs, poor straight draws or poor flushs or drawers  against an early position raiser  and a big stack who can call  us or shove over any bets we make and put us in an awkward spot. It screams Reverse implied odds and this close to the bubble should have been an  easy opportunity to protect our stack and fold to the raise pre. 

 We therefore get the flop and have to consider his range. We know he likes to see a flop so i'll put him on any pair, Any Ace and most broadways and some suited connectors 67s+ or ~29% of hands.I'm kicking myself now for knowing thta he likes to see flops preflop but not having a clue what he does postflop  and make a mental note to start paying attention to how the other guys are playing their hands .

   We have 9 flush outs however if hes drawing to a flush as well that reduces that to 7 flush outs and with Adand Kd hitting the Ax and broadway parts of his range and position hard  we should really discount that and say on average 3 flush outs. 

  We have 4 straight outs to a gutshot (9's) and some backdoor draw to nut straight.  however 9d is a dirty out and should be discounted as it could give villain a better flushand even if we hit a 9, KJ has us beaten  so we should probably discount that out down to 2 outs with the gutshot meaning we could safely assume 6 outs giving us about 24% equity.If we miss on the turn our equity dives to around 10%  and could help villains broadway range to improve. We should probably further discount our flush outs as we are unlikely to get paid off if another flush card comes on the turn or river , so we are paying to draw to a hand that we are unaware if we will be ahead when we hit  and unlikely to get paid if we hit and villain misses.

   The pot after villain bets if 12.1 and if we call will be 17bb with 23bb effective behind. This hand is then rapidly approaching the point where we could be pot committed with worst hand if we hit, or pay to  hit and dont get paid when we do hit , or have to pay and fold when we miss.

    I am check folding this at this stage of the tournament, if the bubble had burst , i would consider check shoving if i knew that i had fold equity and hat i rad seen fold to reraises before. since i don't know that , i'm playing for safety at the moment out of position and wait until i have position in order to exploit his looseness.

#UnibetBubble #Decision4   

in this situation is definetely a call from us because we have gutshot and flush draw and still have enough chips to do it ... the position do not help us but will be fine 

#UnibetBubble #Decision4   

Notice that the hashtags have changed.

4th decision: 

This is a new hand.

A few minutes after the one you played previously. Now there are only 2 players to bust before the bubble.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

 What do you do?

I cant fold with all these draws.

Dont want to risk the lot at this stage of the game so a push is not an option.

So I will call and see the turn and go  from there.

#UnibetBubble and #Decision4.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

 In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

What do you do?

RAPID E EASY !!!

I call and say come here !!!

I already have my chips applied
I do not fall out yet

I CALL

I have good chances, odds

the turn decides, I'm guessing !!!

I call and wave for him to come !!!