@Emty #UnibetBubble #Decision5

I choose check/call.

I dont think he has a good hand to just call a raise. With set or 2 pairs he would for almost sure bet on turn.

He can have weak combination or missed flush draw => that will fold to raise.

He can have same or better straight => we are tied or doomed. Better to call his raise, then a re-raise shove.

With check, we can represent missed flush draw and catch a bluff.

So its a check/call and hope he doesnt have KJ. I dont think it would be good to fold to any raise of his, there is just too many possible bluffs and too little "KJ".

Anyway Im feeling much less sharky then on flop:

#UnibetBubble #Decision4 @Apsal-ara 

Call
Not totally bad, but also not good. To wait for extra card? Not much implied odds (not too deep, and he will fold a lot to dangerous card) and dont forget reverse odds.
So call = we pay for card and if its good, we dont get much extra chips.

Fold
Reasonable option. But why we would defend blind and checked the flop. This is not a bad flop for us. It would be wasting chips defending BB, with the plan to fold on c-bet.

Raise of Shove
Those seems like best options. There is tons of fold equity. He has wide range, and we have very good chance to make him fold even hands like middle pairs.
Chances he has hit monster are very low, and even if he did, we still have reasonable pot equity (even against top set we have nice 34%, against 2 pairs we have 41%, our worst situation is against AKd, but its only one 1 hand, and still we are not drawing dead).

If we just raise, we should have a plan if he shoves (with current bet size, any re-raise is basically a shove). And my plan in such case is go all-in. Bubble is bubble, but we aim for good cash anyway, and not just min-cash.
So if there is strong EV+ spot in chips, Im going to take the risk.

So now, I decide between raise or shove, with the plan not to fold.

Shove have a bit better fold equity. We will get the pot or face some good hand with reasonable pot equity.
Raise will open space for him to bluff. But its actually not the thing I want. Im willing to take risk, but Im also trying to avoid the risky situations.

I choose shove. Check-raise seems very strong here. He will fold most of his range, my estimate is we have at least 80% fold chance.
Reason for shove is to maximize fold equity, dont let him bluff and force us to flip. Dont let him call with better draw or some pair and beat us on turn.

What we represent by shove? Well = bluff, any 2 pairs, set, Q with good kicker, semi-bluff with draws. So our big raise makes sense => fold equity.

Face play is important, so I would add face like this to my shove (the shark, not the Nemo):

#UnibetBubble #Decision3  @Apsal-ara 

Short version: I check and quickly grab half of pot, before 'ze germans' got there.

Like here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2oK_trZhVdk

Snatch, Ze GermansSnatch, greatest movie everwww.youtube.com

Explanation:

Its the bubble, and I cannot build nice pot  when I loose all chips.

By any raise I would turn nice value hand into a bluff. Yes, we might represent a jack, or AQ, but why?

Any "folding hand" we are beating anyway, its no matter if we win at showdown or by bluff.

Any "monster" would cost us a lot.

It might be agro-maniac and just shove, putting us in tough spot and probably folding.

So only extra value from bet, could be if we force villain with Ax hand to fold and snatch extra half of pot. Still its only half of pot extra. And Ax hands are like 20% of his range. The bet forcing him to fold would haveto be big => extra loss, dropping us to short stack.

And we still have some time to build a stack, but not from short stack.

So final decission => check.

#HeroScore new look

Hello @Bnasp here I'm sharing with you the new HeroScore personalized visuals. Can you please choose your favorite and tell me why :)

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#UnibetBubble #decision2 @advoghado 

You have 37 BB in front of you and A♣7♠ in your hands.

You raise 2.6BB.

Villain calls.

Flop:

J♦ K♥ J♠

You both check.

 Turn:

A♥

Villain checks.

What do you do?

Simply: I check behind.

Lets see his expected range for limp-call and check both flop and turn. I dont expect any monsters, that would be limp-raised for sure.

Small pairs, like 44-TT. 

Suited connectors, 67s-KQs.

Boadway cards: like KJ, KQ maybe also QTs. Even that QTs is on the edge.

Ax cards, like A5-AQ.

We represent very wide range. Our preflop raise could have been a bluff, and we never called/raised after that.

So, should we raise?

We should always have a reason to raise. Bluff or value bet?

For bluff we want stronger hand to fold.

I dont see a single hand beating us in his range, which he would fold to reasonable raise. And for sure I dont want to bluff-shove and hope he has Ax (that he could fold). That is just small part of his range. And the pot size is just not worth it. And we are not getting extra values if he folds weaker hand.

For value bet we need weaker hands to call.

But at this situation, he will fold most of hands we are beating.

He will check/raise us with strong hands, and we dont want to call that, not even try some bluff catching now.

He will call with Ax probably, but its tie with most of those.

So its a check. Even we are giving him free card for straight/flush draws. 

Lets keep my thread extras in "Brad Pitt movie" aread. I think this one is appropriate now:

So, what would you put as seven deadly poker sins to die/bust at bubble?

#UnibetBubble #Decision1

Well as for all tournaments, its about FT and not just wait-wait for min cash.

37BB is still good stack and we can risk some part of it to get more chips.

Ac8c is somewhat on the edge and it depends on stacks and players behind us.

But lets see and raise 2500. We can still safely fold if some dangerous action pops behind us.

So keep the mindset according famous movie:

#OMG365

Im posting a hand from tonight's RKHcup at Bet365.

Its not so funny, more for strategic thoughts.

I was chipleader at FT.

Got AK and min-raised. Got all-in from shortstack and call from player with only little less chips then myself.

What to do??

Risking great position with AK? The best I can get is probably some conflip against pocket pairs. Or waiting for better position?

I have choosen to wait, and boom. King on flop. That would have been 30% of all chips in tournament to me and massive chiplead.

Anyway, at the end I finished 3rd. So cant complain much.

#OOPS365 #Part3 

The Flop

7♣A♠A♥

Both of your opponents check.

The pot is now 55BB. You have 78BB left.

 You bet 18

 Ninja folds and disappears in a cloud of smoke.

Samurai stares at you. Then with a huge smile he pushes all his chips in the middle.

“Well, little guy, do you have the guts to fight me? A poker table is the only place where you might beat me,” he says with a deep voice

I make myself comfortable in the chair, because it will be long game.

First I stare at hime with my extra super-hero stare.

Samurais are generally know to be unstable fools.

Then I start some small talk with him, about family, weather, killing peasants etc.

And boom, I can look at him and see.

I replace my "stare" face, with "in your face" face.

I call and catch his bluff with pocket 6s (the ninja folded the other 2 sixes, so poor samurai is drawing dead).

Ilustration of samurai drawing dead:

So now, we have nice 80,000$ and we can feel like Chuck Norris again:

#OOPS365 #part2 

The Flop

7♣A♠A♥

Both of your opponents check.

The pot is now 55BB. You have 78BB left.

My action

Well, we are here to represent Ax. And the best way to represent it, is actually check. With rainbow flop with no draws, most of players would set some kind of trap with Ax. With 55BB pot and 78BB left, there is no rush to increase the pot, we can always get everything in with 2 bets.

So my action is check, to scare ninja/samurai combo even more.

We started with Chuck Norris, so this is how he plays the game.

#OOPS365 #Part1 

There is no way to min-raise and see the flop. And the hand is not so bad at Macao.

And because we are actually sitting there and playing, I suppose we are there to gamble, not to play nit and get banned.

So min-raise is not an option.

Neither is raise all-in, remember its Macao!!! We are "only" 90BB deep, one call is sure, 2 are quite probable. And we would most probably face 87 and K5, being totally dominated and almost draw dead.

So, lets raise to 6BB. Get 2 calls and see the flop. We are in position, with mystery hand for villains, so profit is sure as Chuck's Norris hand.