#WSOPguess #guess3

No

#WSOPguess #guess2

The EPT and European game is much stronger and in general the players are really good at mid-high range.

I therefore predict coverage of 5 nations and I believe 6 players on the final table will be European.

I also predict a European winner.

#WSOPguess  #guess1 

5865

#OOPS365 #PART3

Well this is the diffrence of position, I feel he is light but I am only getting 5/2 for a call and I dont think it is enough given the information. I order a drink shrug my shoulders and muck my hand and when he shows 10 J after I fold, I smile!!

#OOPS365 #Part2

Conventional thinking would be to check behind but this is one of those spots that position is power!

The observations on the table would be critical but you are either beat or not? But you also have a couple of hands that you are getting beat by that you can blow off with the right bet.

So I will break with convention and bet 16BB. This will be my only bet unless I improve. I think you have a great chance to take it down, I think only an ace, KK,QQ, are certain to call. Given the way the hand has played I think logicaly KK, QQ are unlikely except with the opener. If you check behind the turn will certainly bring action and you need to fold ( ?best hand???) well potentialy.

#OOPS365 #Part1

This is funny, I dont mid this spot I am 90 deep so I think a 5BB raise is good. Position is great and if I hit I am going to stack one of them potentialy. Lets see the flop!

#HandMalta #BOMriver

I missread the information and have just seen the bet of $24k on the turn. His call here is in my mind a strange line with anything less than a stinky Ace of spades of some J 10 with 1 spade either way it is a fold. We still have 20+BB to play into the money.

#HandMalta #BOMriver

Fold!! Fold!! What can I beat? If he has any spade in his hand he wins and I feel given the way its been played a stinky ACE of spades is right in the range. The consideration of bubble as well and this was the theory in my check behind on the turn. The power of position! Textbook really. His chance of having a single spade is 50% and this means I just can't make the call. If he is bluffing , nicely played! Its gut wrenching but as the bubble looms I will duck for cover and take my 20+BB and play on.

#HandMalta #BOMturn 

The 3 of Spades. WOW this is a tough spot but I am absolutely checking behind. I think if he had a stinky ace of spade it makes sense the way he has bet called the turn and if I bet here and he flats what will I do on an unpaired board on the river if he leads out. My sense is given the bubble is close pot control is the key here. The fact that if the board pairs on the river I can make and 1/2 pot bet and get paid for sure. He may even open shuv the river now I have checked behind. So for these reasons I make a slow executive check and hold my breath. Check for the paired board!!

#HandMalta #BOMflop

Well top set is great but the flush is live. I am not concerned about the lead into me the bet of 10k would get laydowns from a very wide range of hands. He would be betting almost anything on this flop. If he has AA with spade I am better than 68% and I am in great shape. I raise to 31,500 in total. This is going to polarise his position. I am not going to fold to a reraise shuv but this bet reduces the liklihood of a flat call. I have 87,000 still behind so I am still able to see the turn with an open mind.