Mission UnibetBubble - Decision 2 - €1,500 to win!

Welcome to this new Unibet mission!

Every 2 days until the 30th of June, a new poker question will be asked. 

#UnibetBubble #decision2 

Notice that the hashtags have changed.

2nd decision:

The blinds are 500/1000.

A player just sat at the table with a 43 BB stack. In middle position, he limps in.

Everyone else folds to you, in the cut-off.

You have 37 BB in front of you and A♣7♠ in your hands.

You raise 2.6BB.

Villain calls.

Flop:

J♦ K♥ J♠

You both check.

Turn:

A♥

Villain checks.

What do you do?

The second check is more than likely showing weakness.

If he had the jack I think he would have bet by now otherwise he is missing out on a lot of value.

Possibly he could have Ax or Kx or even a low pair but is worried we may have the J and is playing it safe being near the bubble.

That  A♥ has added flush and straight draws to the mix aswell .

So I think we need to get a bet in but the question is how much.

So thinking through his hands.

Ax we are more than likely splitting the pot unless its AK(AAJJK for both of us) a reasonable bet could get him to fold this.

Kx we are ahead as long as its not KJ .

Any pair except KK AA JJ we are ahead of.

Possibly he could have a made straight, four of kind or a full house but I think this unlikely because he should have put some kind of bet in by now.

So I am going to bet half pot, if he has one of the hands thats dominating me we can fold to a shove without losing too many chips.

If he has the low pair or Kx hopefully he will stick around with this bet size and help us build a stack.

I was tempted to bet bigger  with all them draws on the board to take the pot down now but its too close to that bubble and if he pushes with all the possible big hands out there I will need to fold.

So thats my decision I will bet half pot and play it cautsiously. Would happily take a fold, will fold myself if all the chips are pushed in and if we get a call I will reasses again on the river.

On a side note I was wondering why he is dressed like this and is he trying to tell me something dressed as a cat playing with a mouse. Am I the mouse being played with, we will see soon.

(disclaimer:- this is an actual picture of the player not an attempt to bribe @Elena RKH who I believe likes pictures of babies and cats in posts)