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Mystery Hand : Round 2

This week we will be revealing step by step a hand played during an undisclosed TV table.

Your mission: Take the right decisions!


Share your course of action in each round!

The best answers will be rewarded thanks to our Mystery new partner who will soon be putting up a €7,000 freeroll prize pool for RankingHeroes!

 

 

Round 1 - the answer:

 

Mystery Location, TV Table, Day 2.

The blinds are 1,600/3,200-400 ante. Day 2 has just started and you bring a stack of 65,000 at the TV table, an average stack. Nobody really knows you - as this is your first major event, and you expect people may underestimate you.You are first to speak at a table of 9 players. Before you look at your hand, you decide that you will be on the aggressive side early on today, set an image for later.

You decide to mix things up, and raise with A♠9♥


 

Round 2:

Everybody passes except the Button, a young grinder, who has you covered by less than a big blind. There is now 24,400 in the pot

The Flop Comes  Q♠J♠4♥

Action is on you. You have 58,800 left.


Do you bet and if so, how much?


Put you answer in the comments below and stay tuned to see what happened..


 

 #UnibetHand 

I think in this situation I have 50,35% to win so I have to bet (12,800).

Well, not easy decission. Anyway, we wanted to be aggresive, so raise half-pot (12 200) is the right way to go. If we just check, the you grinder will raise us very probably.

So the extra-aggresive way to go is to check and re-raise all-in as big bluff.

Mayeb raise 8K for let him raise. It was ok to go broke in this situation. We have raise UTG and he have no tell on us, he can fold a Q in this situation .

I think raise 10k

Raise  36,000

I prefer to check here, with no pair only A high is hard to think that i will win this hand.

think 3 minutes , control the card 2 time, think some second... take a breath and push All-in. we decides to be aggressive...so let do tha donky thing.... disgusted anyway... ;) ( check fold is correct action)

bet around 10-11k

Well we not playing our cards lets play the player...so a CB is a must here i would go for 15.500...we have to represent a strong hand Pe-flop.so a CB is a must

Hey Alessio, just because we decided postflop to be aggressive doesn't have to mean we'll continue no matter what happens. There's new information so it's ok to change gears if that's what you think is best. I remember once raising UGT with 4♣5♣, getting multiple callers and a great flop : 6♣J♣J♥
I decided it was strong enough to check raise, but then there was a bet behind me, a raise, and an overcall. Suddently it meant the hand would go all in for sure, someone had the better flush draw for sure or possibly a full house already! So I quickly folded even though it was still relatively cheap to our big stacks. Looking back I thought wow I never expected to sii this flop and not invest a single chip! But we play for profitable situations, and every new information counts.

I got a little bit of track, this is just to say our preflop plan is not meant to survive first contact with the ennemy as they say. Is the flop good to bet on? Is it good to just get one caller on the button?

I'll answer although we severely butchered the hand the begin with leaving ourselves in a terrible spot. First of all we started the hand with just over 20 big blinds and opened A9o UTG, which is about as terrible as it can get. Even at 100 BBs this is a bad open, we'll just call it a "switch it up" but with 20 Bigs we should be "switching it up" like this approximately never. As played, if we both had 100 BB stacks we should always be CBetting this board. We have backnut flush draws and straight draws, its a texture where we shouldn't be getting raised very often (we block nut flush draw and the only value hands are QJ and 44) so we'll get to realize some of our equity the times that we cbet and our called and Most of the time we are just gunna bet and take it down since buttons range should be mostly pairs. We also are in a good spot to triple barrell a lot of run outs putting opponent to tough decisions bc if he calls his range is capped while ours is not... W 20 Bigs it's less than ideal, since we have less options on later streets but our plan shouldn't change and we should still CBet for the reason this board hits us harder than it hits them... Sizing is hard to say bc pot doesn't make sense (we started with 65k and have 58.800 left which means we opened to 6200 which is impossible, pot size of 24.4k would indicate that we raised to 8k after subtracting blinds/antes (entirely too big we should be min raising at this stage)... So assuming we opened to 8k I'd bet somewhere in the 9k neighborhood, i believe it accomplishes the same thing as 15k. It also leaves us 47k behind in a 42kish pot, so that we can shove a lot of turns and put opponent (w the same stack size) to a tough decision for all his chips against an unknown UTG raiser who has shown aggression, where as 15k leaves us 42k in a 55kish pot and may leave villain feeling more pot committed. again this is the line to take given that we put ourselves in this spot which we literally never should have given our poisition and stack size

yes it's right but i want to steal the pot and compromise totally his stack with this decision, i raised than allin everyflop, he can think we can run AA-KK and want to close it up soon, but sure he will be turbated a lot...yes there is the risk he call with a top pair as AQ hand or other...but sometime the maximum aggression first time have some credits...otherwise can bet a 3/4 pot or check raise even his bet...but we finally risk to be committed and he can believe more his point...so allin in the dark is my move. i confirm....i'm sick sometime i know.

 

In this spot, we will be OOP all the hand postflop. We have only 20BB and the Vilain also, so it is likely that we are both commited and there will be a push before the river, because of the ratio between effective stacks and pot (Stack to Pot Ratio). After our first move to open-raise with A9o, we have only one young grinder on the button against us left. His call-range preflop in this position is something like broadways, medium and little pairs and suited connectors. With Ax he would have 3-bet light preflop and also with TT+ or AK.

The flop is likely dry two color, good only for a flush draw or top pair with a Q or J in the range. Could also be a open straight draw with hands like T9. Some hands could hit his range like QJ, QT, JT, flush draw like 76s spades and 44. Our hand has only a backdoor max flush draw and straight draw. We have 2 choices check or bet. If we check, the "young grinder" could check as well and trap us with a good hit on the turn. Plus, we were aggressive preflop, so it is not logical to be passive now. If we bet half pot, it is a typical c-bet and the Vilain could just call it and what we would do at the turn ?! Bet again ? We would be in the dark all the time. And if we check and he bets ? Worse. So to keep initiative and pressure and taking account that a flop hits only 1/3 of the time, the best move is to shove allin. This way we put max pressure on him and we are logical with our preflop move, representing AQ or AJ eventually suited and spades. If we are beat by some part of his range (less than 20%), we will be called and we will "die" at the TV table as a "warrior". If he has only a medium pair, a bluff catcher or a broadway like JT he will have a headache to call. So definitely push is the only logical and "champion like" decision.     

by raising preflop being UTG, we showed some strength of our hand. on the flop we can easily represent top pair top kicker or even two pair, or a pair higher. we influence his difficult decision by doubling the initial bet, and we bet 16k, (2/3 of the pot) if he wants to raise, he know that we oblige him to bet a sum that would force us to push all-in... so the difficult decision belongs to him, not for us

Ok, what cards are the best news for us on the turn?

K♠10♠ best hands

half pot, or all in

on the turn, an ace or a peak, maybe a blank, are the best news

bet 9k an the best cards for us on turn are two an then a 3 two low cards that dont change a thing if we believed ace high was good or that our opponents holdings were not strong enough to call our river bet all in