#UnibetBubble 

#Decision6 

6th decision:

This is a new hand.

You are on the bubble now. Just one short of the money!

As usual at this time, most of the players will fold anything, the short stacks try to hold on as long as possible… and it lasts for ages…

Until this one hand where the player on the Button limps in on your big blind. He has 25BB in his stack.

As far as you know, he has qualified via a satellite tournament, and he is a very tight player who hasn’t played a hand for 2 hours.

The woman in the Small Blind folds.

So you are in the Big Blind. You hold 5♣Q♦ and your stack is 25BB. The exact same amount as the villain.

A bit tired, you casually tap the table and dully say, “Check”.

FLOP:

5♠5♥K♥

This is the kind of board that wakes you up immediatly!

His eyes hidden behind his sun glasses, villain pushes all his chips in the middle and says “All In”.

because we know the range of this person is soooo small i would put hem on a hand like ak aq etc. because of hes limp preflop but it could also be a trap limp with kk or aa so at this board when we do are hand combinations when we think he has ak,kk only because he wouldnt shov with aq or aa if he is such a nit. :

ev calc and hand rang

1) AK: 4aces left *3 kings left= 12 combinations (87% fav)
87%*50bb(totalpot) - 24bb(our call)= +19.5bb

2) KK: 3cominations    = 3cmbinations (95% lose)
5%*50bb(totalpot) -24bb(our call) = -21.5 bb

(4/5*[19.50])+(1/5*[-21.5])/2
15.6bb-4.3bb=+11.3bb

so with the math we would make 11.3bb profit to do a call here (for example in a cash game) on the long term BUT because its the bubble time i would still fold this hand even we are going to win 80% against hes hand range that we puted hem on.

#UnibetBubble #Decision4   

Notice that the hashtags have changed.

4th decision: 

This is a new hand.

A few minutes after the one you played previously. Now there are only 2 players to bust before the bubble.

The blinds are still 500/1000.

In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

 What do you do?

we have enough outs to give it a call here but if we do not hit on the turn and he does raise again then it is an easy fold because or stack in bb is going to get to low then. but for now with this stack we can give it a go 

#Decision5 #UnibetBubble 

The blinds are still 500/1000.

 In UTG+1, a player who likes to see a lot of flops opens with 2.2BB. He has 30,000 chips in his stack.

UTG+2, with a 90BB stack, calls.

You have now 34BB. In the BB position, you call with J♦8♦.

FLOP:

10♠3♦Q♦

You check.

Villain UTG+1 bets 5,000 chips.

UTG+2 folds.

You call.

TURN:

6♥

You both check.

RIVER:

9♣

You are first to speak.

in this situation i would check raIise the guy because we know we arent going to get called that often because raising look stronger then checking and we have seen that he tried a shot on the flop so in my toughts its better to check raise hem and get some probabbly some value then to raise and get a fold.

#UnibetBubble #Decision3  

3rd decision:

The blinds are 500/1000.

A player just sat at the table with a 43 BB stack. In middle position, he limps in.

Everyone else folds to you, in the cut-off.

You have 37 BB in front of you and A♣7♠ in your hands.

You raise 2.6BB.

Villain calls.

Flop:

J♦ K♥ J♠

You both check.

Turn:

A♥

Villain checks.

When you put 3,000 chips in the middle, villain instantly calls.

River:

9♦
And again, villain checks.

What do you do?

i would check this because there would be a to big chance we are getting called with worse if we bet or even get check raised and in that situation we really are in bad position :) so my advicewould be check here because of the fact there are better spots to get value :)

#UnibetBubble #decision2
@Jonny2192

2nd decision:

The blinds are 500/1000.

A player just sat at the table with a 43 BB stack. In middle position, he limps in.

Everyone else folds to you, in the cut-off.

You have 37 BB in front of you and A♣7♠ in your hands.

You raise 2.6BB.

Villain calls.

Flop:
J♦ K♥ J♠

You both check.

Turn:
A♥

Villain checks.

ok if i have no information about that guy and he does limp preflop then i would not give hem an advantage and play like i am playing against a good player (unless he starts making bad moves later so i can take advantage of hem but if i play against 0info then i just think the guy is decent because that is the most profitable way in my opninion) IF he hes bad then we will have some situations later anyway.
so for now i would just think he limps with any pocket pair AND hands like KQo,KQs,,AQo,AQs and just think thet he would raise AK etc.and fold other stuff.

Then we know we are ahout 80% of the time against that range 

so i think raising is the best in this position with the intention to fold if we get checkraised because then our read is definitely wrong. because we do have raised preflop so we are the aggressor and probably have enough fold equity to get a fold here and maybe get a call with worse even tho i would hope we get a check check on the river and if he is going to raise on the river i would call a verry small raise (unless a T,Q,any heart comes on river then i would fold almost every raise) but most likely just throw this away and wait for better spots where i do have some reads about the player. 

#UnibetBubble #Decision1 @ajax

1st decision:

The blinds are 500/1000.

A player just sat at the table with a 43 BB stack. In middle position, he limps in.

Everyone else folds to you, in the cut-off.

You have 37 BB in front of you and A♣7♠ in your hands.

What do you do?

That player has just joined the table so we have 0 information about that guy but before i make a descission to raise i would look to the BTN,SB,BB and if i know the BTN is a nit then i would easy raise 3,5x but if i know the btn is for example a superbigstack who is abusing the bubble etc. then i would rather fold this hand because its the bubble and wait for a better spot even tho its difficult if you have a bigstack on your left who is abusing the bubble then. and the same coutns for the SB and BB but i would already be a bit more loose against those guys because we are in postition post flop. so 

scenario 1)
BTN is big stack that knows how to abuse the bubble = fold this hand
Scenario 2)
BTN is small/mediumstack = raise 3,5x
Scenario 3)
BTN is small/medium stack and not agr AND both SB,BB are a nit = raise 3,5x with intention to fold if i get reraised
Scenario 4)
BTN is small/Medium stack ang not agr AND both sb, bb are a TAG (tight and aggr) = i would still open 3,5x with the intention to fold if i get reraised
Scenario 5)
BTN is small/Medium stack and not aggr BUT SB or BB is a LAG (loose and aggr) then i would just fold because there will go allot of chips in the pot without having a real premium hand so we wanne play like AQo,AKo,AKs,QQ,KK,AA against those guys because we can get more value about other guys so why talking more risk against such guys
Scenario 6)
btn is small/medium stack and not aggr but sb and/or bb are marginal / fish even tho its bubble so the chance those people survive that long arent that great but for example if that situation would apear and i know it are calling stations post flop etc then i maybe would try a limp on the co with the intention to get wheeey more money in the pot if i hit my nutflush (because those players are calliing stations)



so my conclusion i am not only watching to the player where i have no info about but i will base my descisions on the other players on my table aswell who are left to act.