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Skilful
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My entry to the Malta competition turn play is below :)

Edit: Can you believe this?

 

I'm even on the button! haha

Little does he know how expert I am on this line thanks to RankingHero

 

Here is the hand:

Imagine you’re in Malta playing the 2015 PokerListings Battle of Malta. Lucky you!

You are close to the bubble.
The blinds are 1,000/2,000/200.

 

Preflop

Everyone folds to the player in middle position. He’s an aggressive Swedish pro, with 136,250 chips, and he raises to 5,000. Two hands earlier, the villain lost 20% of his stack on a bluff on the river.

You’re on the button with K♥K♦ and a stack of 130,500.

 

You decide to 3-bet 12,000 chips.

The small blind and the big blind both fold.
Villain calls.

The pot is now 28,800 chips.

 

Flop

The dealer reveals Q♠K♠7♠.

Villain bets 12,000.

The action is back on you. You now have a 118,500 stack.

You raise his bet to 28,000 chips.

Villain decides to call.



Turn

The turn card is 3♠

Villain checks.


The pot is 84,800. You have a 90,500 stack.

 

What do you do?


OK this isn't actually as bad as it might look at first glance this guy is a pro, he's very unlikely to be calling with weak flush draws given how polarised our range is after we 3bet preflop and raised his donk lead on the flop. What more we are shallow which means he's just not getting the implied odds if he hits and he will know this.

The ace high flush is really the only card he's going to be betting for value on the river knowing how strong our range. The rest of the hands he bets on the river (the majority of his range that does bet) is going to be a bluff.

What's more he doesn't know that we are capable of thinking this hand through in the way we have, Given this and his earlier bluff the best play here is to check behind. Sure we run a small risk of the board running out to a 5 card flush but that's slim given the spades already out there and the other suits in the deck.

So with that in mind, and a smart little bit of

 

Let's check behind here.

We give him the opportunity to bluff using the evidence we've already gleamed from two hands previous on the river. While at the same time not isolating ourselves against hands that beat us. Sure we had a set on the flop, but our hand strength relative to the board has just plummeted. But we are still strong Vs the whole range of hands he could be holding and have a nice little

For the river. If he does go for a half pot or less bluff on the river (and really no reason for him to bet more if he is bluffing) and we call, we are still going to have 20bbs left more than enough for us to try to manouvre ourselves through the bubble and into the later stages of the tournament.

Bring it on Swedish Pro. I check. Lets see a river!

#HandMalta & #BOMturn.

Nice one Skilful. The only thing I'd say is that there is a major reason for him bluff more than half pot... because it puts us in an absolutely grim spot unless we specifically have the nut flush cos it's the bubble and he has us covered. If he bets small then people will do what you said, sigh and call knowing they have 20xBB left.. people aren't so eager to call when getting it wrong means gg on the bubble. A good player aint gonna go 1/2 pot as a bluff but jam for value so I think if he's betting river, it's gonna be for our stack.

It's gonna really sort the the men from the boys tomorrow when (as I suspect) the river is a non board pairing blank and he jams ;)

glgl

Thanks for the advice Paul!

Nice one ;)

yeah, nice one dude, i think stacks will be in regardless by the river, there seems to be enough to play for here, is he going to call us on river with a low spade if he checks and we jam...im sure he'll jam on a brick like Paul said...all good fun ; ) gl

 

Edited at top of post  @Paul Lambert @Adrien Bacchi @B165L1Ck75 

hahaha quality, what are the chances? lol.... next card a heart? 

haha no next card was a non heart! ;) I did have my breath held though while it was being dealt

hahahahah nice one : D

Thanks @Rémi Rkh !

GLGLGLGLGL : )